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Crown Green Handicap

Pauline Shea

Team: TixallDivision: Division 2Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

1084

Current Handicap

4
Honours
Season:

48

Matches Played

36

Wins

12

Losses

75%

Win Rate

8.8

Avg Win Margin

7.2

Avg Loss Margin

19-5

Home Record

17-7

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
48 / 17 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/29/2024

A large recent sample: 48 matches in the 2026 window, comfortably past the 17-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

Hot Streak 15

16 in a row

Next goal: 50 Wins36/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS
2024
90% Season90%
10-Game Streak15 in a row

Handicap Trend

All Time · 48 matches

+4 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

31 May8 Aug15 Jun3 Aug25 Apr10 Jun18 Jul29 Aug-12510

Gives 4 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current4
Win Percentage(40%)
75%
score+0.50→contribution+0.20
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
8.8
score+0.13→contribution+0.03
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
7.2
score+0.14→contribution+0.02
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
90%
score+0.80→contribution+0.08
Opponent Strength(10%)
904
score+0.40→contribution+0.04
Weighted Score+0.373
Sample Size Confidence
100%(48/17 matches)
Rating1187 → shrunk 1187→ adjusted 1084
Handicap
4

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 17, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

36W12L48 matches·75% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Tixall2022–2024Division 2, Division 148361275%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/29/2024Julie ScreggH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
8/27/2024Karen Ellis (FB)A20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 2
8/20/2024Cathy KavanaghA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
8/15/2024Josie CarrH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 2
8/8/2024Gill SmithH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 2
7/30/2024Jill OddieA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 2
7/22/2024Carole WhyteA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
7/18/2024Gill OwensH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 2
7/11/2024Iris Batman (SB)H21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
7/9/2024Annie Murray (SB)A21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
7/4/2024Pat BeatieA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 2
7/2/2024Tina BarrettA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
6/27/2024Margaret PurcellH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 2
6/10/2024Linda FarnworthA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 2
6/6/2024Valerie CoxA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 2
5/30/2024Sandie OwenH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 2
5/21/2024Cathy KavanaghA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 2
5/9/2024Susan LovellH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 2
5/2/2024Lynda TaylorH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 2
4/25/2024Letitia WilkinsH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 2
8/24/2023Angela HoldenH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 2
8/17/2023Margaret StanleyA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2
8/15/2023Lyne DeanA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 2
8/10/2023Evelyn BrettH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 2
8/4/2023Karen EllisA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 2
8/3/2023Joyce MartinA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 2
8/2/2023Gillian RogersA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
7/13/2023Josie CarrH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 2
7/6/2023Paula PageH21-2WIN+19LeagueDivision 2
6/29/2023Tina BarrettH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 2
6/19/2023Sue TilstonA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 2
6/15/2023Joan CairnsH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
6/8/2023Angela SmithA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 2
8/30/2022Jamilah Ball (SB)A21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 1
8/25/2022Sandra Cooper (SA)A21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 1
8/15/2022Ella Kennedy (SB)A21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 1
8/11/2022Sandy Cooper (FA)H17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
8/8/2022Margaret Page (SA)H21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 1
7/21/2022Chris Auty (FB)A9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 1
7/14/2022vs Thingwall AH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 1
6/13/2022Lynn Rannard (FB)H21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 1
6/9/2022Shelia Maddaford (SA)H21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 1
6/6/2022vs Thingwall AA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 1
5/31/2022Joyce Galloway (FA)A21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 1
5/27/2022Sue Lewis (SA)A12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 1
5/19/2022Jackie Thomas (SA)H21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 1
5/12/2022Sioux McGookin (FB)H21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 1
4/28/2022Lynne CooperH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 1

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

16

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

2

Career worst losing streak

Last 560% win rate
WLWWL
Last 1080% win rate↓ declining
WLWWLWWWWW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Cathy Kavanagh202100%8/20/2024
Josie Carr11250%8/15/2024
Tina Barrett202100%7/2/2024
Thingwall A0220%7/14/2022
Julie Scregg101100%8/29/2024
Karen Ellis (FB)0110%8/27/2024
Gill Smith0110%8/8/2024
Jill Oddie101100%7/30/2024
Carole Whyte101100%7/22/2024
Gill Owens101100%7/18/2024
Biggest Win
Paula Page (+19)7/6/2023
Heaviest Defeat
Sue Tilston (-17)6/19/2023
Best Season
202490% · 20 matches
Worst Season
202362% · 13 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
63% → 88%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
85231 known · 17 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
6-186% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
19-579% win rate

By Division

Division 226-7 (79%)
Division 110-5 (67%)
Division 166.7%
10W·5L·15 played
Division 278.8%
26W·7L·33 played

Debut

Apr 28, 2022

Latest

Aug 29, 2024

Seasons Active

3 (2.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

16.0 (48 total)

Seasons

202220232024